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Qual 252017 Shenzhen Regional
Red160
636046.6
635437.6
630472.3
Blue229
636255.7
461395.5
639256.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221530100200300400160229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6304
#20
72.34.5
50.5→54.9
Auto16.1
Teleop26.3
End30.0
blue by 23.3
4613
#2
95.59.2
72.5→81.8
Auto19.4
Teleop47.2
End29.0
Second
6360
#10
46.64.5
39.2→43.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End14.2
blue by 9.6
6392
#8
56.29.2
28.8→38.0
Auto7.5
Teleop24.2
End24.4
Third
6354
#28
37.64.5
30.2→34.7
Auto7.4
Teleop22.4
End7.8
blue by 18.2
6362
#9
55.79.2
39.6→48.8
Auto5.8
Teleop27.1
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed