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Qual 502017 Shenzhen Regional
Red260
583987.8
636046.6
545370.6
Blue110
649442.5
582034.6
637559.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170111050150200250300350260110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5839
#4
87.810.5
57.6→68.1
Auto10.3
Teleop41.4
End36.2
red by 28.3
6375
#22
59.50.4
43.6→43.2
Auto8.0
Teleop21.9
End29.6
Second
5453
#19
70.610.5
56.1→66.6
Auto8.2
Teleop36.9
End25.5
red by 28.2
6494
#34
42.50.4
33.8→33.4
Auto8.1
Teleop30.7
End3.7
Third
6360
#10
46.610.5
40.0→50.5
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End14.2
red by 12.0
5820
#36
34.60.4
36.6→36.1
Auto3.6
Teleop22.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed