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Qual 542017 Shenzhen Regional
Red165
637647.2
582376.6
545164.7
Blue130
637430.0
635437.6
461395.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168165100120140180200220240260165130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5823
#1
76.60.7
62.0→62.8
Auto9.8
Teleop35.4
End31.3
blue by 19.0
4613
#2
95.53.0
94.3→91.3
Auto19.4
Teleop47.2
End29.0
Second
5451
#17
64.70.7
50.6→51.3
Auto7.9
Teleop28.0
End28.8
red by 27.1
6354
#28
37.63.0
32.7→29.7
Auto7.4
Teleop22.4
End7.8
Third
6376
#24
47.20.7
45.4→46.1
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End7.1
red by 17.3
6374
#16
30.03.0
31.9→28.9
Auto5.5
Teleop23.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed