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Red165
636142.6
638640.0
545164.7
Blue180
551659.9
636544.8
644145.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312050100150200165180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5451
#17
64.74.2
51.355.5
Auto7.9
Teleop28.0
End28.8
red by 4.8
5516
#21
59.96.3
41.147.3
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End26.9
Second
6361
#32
42.64.2
33.337.5
Auto6.4
Teleop26.5
End9.7
blue by 3.2
6441
#13
45.86.3
34.841.1
Auto8.6
Teleop41.8
End-4.6
Third
6386
#39
40.04.2
32.036.2
Auto5.7
Teleop26.9
End7.5
blue by 4.8
6365
#30
44.86.3
38.945.2
Auto6.9
Teleop35.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed