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Semifinal 2-12017 Shenzhen Regional
Red214
636142.6
461395.5
188482.6
Blue215
179756.9
551576.8
643948.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23817350100150200300350400214215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#2
95.50.1
94.1→94.0
Auto19.4
Teleop47.2
End29.0
red by 18.7
5515
#3
76.81.1
73.7→74.8
Auto12.0
Teleop34.5
End30.4
Second
1884
#7
82.60.1
81.1→81.1
Auto11.2
Teleop43.9
End27.6
red by 25.7
1797
#25
56.91.1
53.8→54.9
Auto6.1
Teleop31.7
End19.1
Third
6361
#32
42.60.1
41.1→41.0
Auto6.4
Teleop26.5
End9.7
blue by 5.9
6439
#23
48.51.1
45.3→46.5
Auto6.7
Teleop20.2
End21.5