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Red293
636142.6
461395.5
188482.6
Blue220
179756.9
551576.8
643948.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23717750100150200300350400293220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.51.3
94.095.3
Auto19.4
Teleop47.2
End29.0
red by 18.7
76.81.1
74.875.9
Auto12.0
Teleop34.5
End30.4
Second
82.61.3
81.182.4
Auto11.2
Teleop43.9
End27.6
red by 25.7
1797
#25
56.91.1
54.956.0
Auto6.1
Teleop31.7
End19.1
Third
6361
#32
42.61.3
41.042.3
Auto6.4
Teleop26.5
End9.7
blue by 5.9
6439
#23
48.51.1
46.547.5
Auto6.7
Teleop20.2
End21.5