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Red240
60739.9
43390.0
203105.9
Blue145
1403102.2
540490.2
164784.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402990100200400500600700240145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
red by 3.8
1403
Unranked
102.20.0
102.2102.2
Auto7.5
Teleop47.0
End47.7
Second
433
Unranked
90.00.0
90.090.0
Auto9.5
Teleop39.9
End40.6
blue by 0.2
5404
Unranked
90.20.0
90.290.2
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End39.3
Third
607
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
blue by 44.7
1647
Unranked
84.60.0
84.684.6
Auto10.3
Teleop32.3
End42.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor odds5%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds