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Red251
434296.5
747103.8
518180.2
Blue185
201689.3
1403102.2
203105.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29231602004006008001,0001,200251185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
Unranked
103.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto7.9
Teleop45.7
End50.2
blue by 2.2
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
Second
4342
Unranked
96.50.0
96.596.5
Auto13.4
Teleop42.3
End40.8
blue by 5.7
1403
Unranked
102.20.0
102.2102.2
Auto7.5
Teleop47.0
End47.7
Third
5181
Unranked
80.20.0
80.280.2
Auto13.2
Teleop40.7
End26.3
blue by 9.1
2016
Unranked
89.30.0
89.389.3
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End44.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor odds15%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds