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Red280
285377.5
247741.0
380063.7
Blue235
1661114.5
570154.5
670485.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119142050100200250300280235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2853
#25
77.518.2
50.468.6
Auto6.9
Teleop33.1
End37.6
blue by 37.0
114.57.6
63.871.5
Auto12.2
Teleop50.9
End51.4
Second
3800
#21
63.718.2
29.848.0
Auto6.3
Teleop33.8
End23.6
blue by 22.0
6704
#16
85.611.4
28.940.3
Auto7.1
Teleop36.0
End42.6
Third
2477
#36
41.018.2
36.254.3
Auto4.4
Teleop29.5
End7.1
blue by 13.6
5701
#28
54.511.4
39.550.9
Auto6.6
Teleop33.3
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed