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Red210
162291.6
246564.8
388156.3
Blue47
630837.3
635338.8
137859.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181100030040021047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#13
91.63.2
71.875.1
Auto7.6
Teleop37.2
End46.8
red by 32.0
1378
#29
59.66.6
43.536.9
Auto10.5
Teleop33.1
End16.0
Second
2465
#12
64.84.0
42.446.4
Auto9.0
Teleop32.6
End23.2
red by 26.0
6353
#33
38.86.6
28.922.4
Auto3.2
Teleop25.7
End9.9
Third
3881
#19Sur
56.35.4
47.252.6
Auto6.6
Teleop24.2
End25.6
red by 19.0
6308
#37
37.36.6
33.727.1
Auto3.8
Teleop27.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed