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Red200
243954.5
244132.6
1661114.5
Blue225
4253123.0
250447.0
289648.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1772330100300400500600200225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.51.6
92.093.6
Auto12.2
Teleop50.9
End51.4
blue by 8.5
123.01.0
114.8113.9
Auto14.5
Teleop51.3
End57.2
Second
2439
#35
54.52.7
47.049.7
Auto8.8
Teleop34.7
End11.0
red by 5.7
2896
#31
48.81.6
59.557.9
Auto6.6
Teleop32.4
End9.8
Third
2441
#32
32.62.7
36.839.5
Auto0.8
Teleop26.3
End5.6
blue by 14.4
2504
#20
47.01.6
39.938.3
Auto5.2
Teleop39.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed