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Red332
289648.8
4253123.0
3132107.9
Blue111
36883.1
359101.2
243954.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285259100200400500332111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.01.4
119.0120.4
Auto14.5
Teleop51.3
End57.2
red by 21.8
359
#7
101.23.1
104.5101.4
Auto13.5
Teleop47.7
End40.0
Second
107.91.4
103.8105.3
Auto23.2
Teleop44.5
End40.1
red by 24.8
368
#15
83.13.4
86.783.3
Auto8.6
Teleop39.9
End34.6
Third
2896
#31
48.81.6
44.345.9
Auto6.6
Teleop32.4
End9.8
blue by 5.7
2439
#35
54.53.4
58.254.8
Auto8.8
Teleop34.7
End11.0