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Semifinal 1-22017 Hawaii Regional
Red332
289648.8
4253123.0
3132107.9
Blue230
36883.1
359101.2
243954.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293246100200400500332230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#1
123.01.3
120.4→121.8
Auto14.5
Teleop51.3
End57.2
red by 21.8
359
#7
101.20.2
101.4→101.2
Auto13.5
Teleop47.7
End40.0
Second
3132
#5
107.91.3
105.3→106.6
Auto23.2
Teleop44.5
End40.1
red by 24.8
368
#15
83.10.2
83.3→83.1
Auto8.6
Teleop39.9
End34.6
Third
2896
#31
48.81.5
45.9→47.4
Auto6.6
Teleop32.4
End9.8
blue by 5.7
2439
#35
54.50.2
54.8→54.5
Auto8.8
Teleop34.7
End11.0