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Red304
244582.0
388281.3
388072.6
Blue235
1661114.5
427077.2
372153.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245250150200300350400304235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2445
#17
82.01.6
80.982.5
Auto16.1
Teleop40.3
End25.6
blue by 32.6
114.50.0
111.7111.7
Auto12.2
Teleop50.9
End51.4
Second
81.31.5
80.381.8
Auto6.4
Teleop38.1
End36.7
red by 4.1
77.20.0
74.374.3
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End30.9
Third
3880
#18
72.61.5
71.673.1
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End18.8
red by 19.2
3721
#22
53.40.0
50.250.2
Auto6.4
Teleop38.9
End8.1