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Red217
542987.3
5458118.9
4613116.6
Blue450
2848116.7
290378.0
604116.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373371250300350400450217450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#10
118.92.5
121.4118.9
Auto12.2
Teleop51.8
End54.8
red by 2.1
116.70.8
115.9116.7
Auto14.3
Teleop57.4
End45.1
Second
116.62.5
119.1116.6
Auto19.6
Teleop52.1
End44.8
Level
604
#4
116.60.8
115.8116.6
Auto10.3
Teleop57.1
End49.2
Third
5429
#24
87.32.5
89.887.3
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End29.6
red by 9.3
2903
#15
78.00.8
77.278.0
Auto6.3
Teleop47.1
End24.6