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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Hopper Division
Red447
604116.6
186899.2
2848116.7
Blue237
281102.2
4488111.4
5431102.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367348100200300400500600700447237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#8
116.70.4
114.8→115.2
Auto14.3
Teleop57.4
End45.1
red by 5.3
4488
#7
111.41.9
113.7→111.8
Auto17.3
Teleop51.3
End42.9
Second
604
#4
116.60.4
114.6→115.1
Auto10.3
Teleop57.1
End49.2
red by 14.4
281
#41
102.21.9
104.5→102.6
Auto11.9
Teleop40.7
End49.6
Third
1868
#30
99.20.4
98.8→99.2
Auto12.5
Teleop39.3
End47.3
blue by 3.0
5431
#22
102.11.9
104.0→102.1
Auto14.9
Teleop56.2
End31.0