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Red255
2848116.7
545435.6
5588110.7
Blue309
651771.9
496595.4
3039105.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266280100200400500255309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.70.0
113.0113.0
Auto14.3
Teleop57.4
End45.1
red by 10.9
3039
#49
105.83.0
103.0106.0
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
Second
5588
#19
110.70.0
111.1111.1
Auto9.6
Teleop49.3
End51.9
red by 15.3
4965
#18
95.43.0
96.399.2
Auto9.5
Teleop37.5
End48.5
Third
5454
#63
35.60.0
30.830.8
Auto3.7
Teleop24.3
End7.6
blue by 36.3
6517
#56
71.93.0
65.368.3
Auto6.0
Teleop29.3
End36.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed