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Red206
551663.0
281102.2
356248.6
Blue230
223088.5
642965.2
183677.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236244100200300400206230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#41
102.21.3
105.8104.5
Auto11.9
Teleop40.7
End49.6
red by 13.7
2230
#23
88.50.1
88.688.5
Auto9.7
Teleop46.9
End32.0
Second
5516
#45
63.01.3
69.668.3
Auto6.0
Teleop33.9
End23.1
blue by 14.1
1836
#35
77.10.1
77.277.1
Auto3.7
Teleop37.4
End36.1
Third
3562
#46
48.61.3
49.948.6
Auto4.9
Teleop29.8
End13.9
blue by 16.6
6429
#58
65.20.1
65.365.2
Auto2.9
Teleop32.2
End30.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed