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Red374
3314103.4
383598.2
581898.0
Blue255
4941111.7
186899.2
636682.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292329100200400500374255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.44.5
98.1102.6
Auto16.4
Teleop49.2
End37.9
blue by 8.3
4941
#12
111.73.5
119.0115.5
Auto11.7
Teleop53.4
End46.6
Second
3835
#11
98.24.5
92.096.5
Auto8.6
Teleop51.6
End37.9
blue by 1.0
1868
#30
99.23.5
102.398.8
Auto12.5
Teleop39.3
End47.3
Third
5818
#13
98.04.5
91.996.3
Auto11.4
Teleop45.9
End40.8
red by 15.3
6366
#31
82.83.5
86.382.8
Auto9.1
Teleop39.0
End34.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed