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Red110
191270.7
400571.6
500267.8
Blue285
549687.8
2848116.7
289660.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25327450100150200300350400450110285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#26
71.69.2
80.871.6
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End42.4
blue by 45.1
116.71.8
113.0114.8
Auto14.3
Teleop57.4
End45.1
Second
1912
#54
70.79.2
79.970.7
Auto9.9
Teleop29.2
End31.6
blue by 17.0
5496
#43
87.81.8
85.987.8
Auto5.3
Teleop34.8
End47.6
Third
5002
#66
67.89.2
82.373.1
Auto5.9
Teleop33.7
End28.2
red by 7.3
2896
#57
60.51.8
58.760.5
Auto4.8
Teleop35.5
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed