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Red346
383598.2
463580.7
3309131.0
Blue210
299686.8
500267.8
3039105.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322278150200250300350400450500346210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.03.0
128.8131.8
Auto23.0
Teleop55.1
End53.0
red by 25.2
3039
#49
105.84.0
97.093.0
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
Second
3835
#11
98.23.0
92.895.8
Auto8.6
Teleop51.6
End37.9
red by 11.4
2996
#39
86.84.0
88.484.4
Auto11.9
Teleop41.5
End33.4
Third
4635
#33
80.73.0
78.881.8
Auto10.7
Teleop33.7
End36.2
red by 12.9
5002
#66
67.84.0
84.480.4
Auto5.9
Teleop33.7
End28.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed