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Red256
393186.2
451390.9
463580.7
Blue306
604116.6
258363.4
832101.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2312850100200400256306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#32
90.92.0
81.983.9
Auto8.7
Teleop47.6
End34.6
blue by 25.7
604
#4
116.62.8
119.1121.9
Auto10.3
Teleop57.1
End49.2
Second
3931
#55
86.22.0
66.768.7
Auto7.8
Teleop33.5
End44.9
blue by 14.8
832
#5
101.02.8
97.6100.4
Auto11.5
Teleop42.2
End47.4
Third
4635
#33
80.72.0
78.180.0
Auto10.7
Teleop33.7
End36.2
red by 17.3
2583
#34
63.42.8
46.749.6
Auto7.4
Teleop33.2
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed