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Red285
463580.7
11496.5
295092.1
Blue352
5458118.9
3132118.8
1778117.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253352100200300400500600285352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#37
96.52.1
86.488.5
Auto8.7
Teleop43.3
End44.4
blue by 22.4
5458
#10
118.92.0
113.1115.1
Auto12.2
Teleop51.8
End54.8
Second
2950
#62
92.12.1
85.587.6
Auto10.0
Teleop42.1
End40.0
blue by 26.8
3132
#21
118.82.0
104.0106.0
Auto25.5
Teleop48.9
End44.4
Third
4635
#33
80.72.1
81.683.7
Auto10.7
Teleop33.7
End36.2
blue by 36.5
117.22.0
104.2106.3
Auto11.6
Teleop51.8
End53.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsEarned