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Red136
500267.8
651771.9
238390.6
Blue255
141088.2
5431102.1
604116.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239318100200400500136255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#29
90.66.8
91.484.6
Auto10.9
Teleop42.7
End37.0
blue by 25.9
604
#4
116.62.4
112.6110.1
Auto10.3
Teleop57.1
End49.2
Second
6517
#56
71.96.8
64.557.7
Auto6.0
Teleop29.3
End36.6
blue by 30.2
5431
#22
102.12.4
99.096.6
Auto14.9
Teleop56.2
End31.0
Third
5002
#66
67.86.8
81.975.1
Auto5.9
Teleop33.7
End28.2
blue by 20.4
1410
#27
88.22.4
80.077.6
Auto10.7
Teleop40.7
End36.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed