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Red285
496595.4
258794.5
186899.2
Blue305
602390.6
1319102.7
400571.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278267150200250300350285305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#30
99.21.5
92.393.8
Auto12.5
Teleop39.3
End47.3
blue by 3.5
1319
#51
102.73.3
100.5103.8
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End53.2
Second
4965
#18
95.41.5
82.684.1
Auto9.5
Teleop37.5
End48.5
red by 4.8
6023
#38
90.63.3
81.985.3
Auto11.5
Teleop40.7
End38.4
Third
2587
#28
94.51.5
87.689.1
Auto10.1
Teleop45.4
End39.1
red by 22.9
4005
#26
71.63.7
72.876.5
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End42.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed