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Red160
494482.9
630578.2
570539.5
Blue330
5431102.1
400571.6
3039105.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193040100400500160330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#17
82.95.6
82.076.4
Auto5.8
Teleop44.9
End32.2
blue by 22.9
3039
#49
105.81.8
101.9103.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
Second
6305
#59
78.25.6
80.474.8
Auto3.0
Teleop28.8
End46.3
blue by 23.9
5431
#22
102.11.8
99.2101.0
Auto14.9
Teleop56.2
End31.0
Third
5705
#67
39.55.6
56.751.1
Auto7.5
Teleop31.6
End0.4
blue by 32.1
4005
#26
71.61.8
76.578.3
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End42.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed