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Red308
5458118.9
183677.1
393186.2
Blue345
254372.6
3314103.4
3309131.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893130100200400500600700308345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#10
118.92.0
119.6121.6
Auto12.2
Teleop51.8
End54.8
blue by 12.2
131.01.7
128.7130.4
Auto23.0
Teleop55.1
End53.0
Second
3931
#55
86.22.0
83.085.0
Auto7.8
Teleop33.5
End44.9
blue by 17.2
103.41.7
96.498.1
Auto16.4
Teleop49.2
End37.9
Third
1836
#35
77.12.0
75.277.2
Auto3.7
Teleop37.4
End36.1
red by 4.6
2543
#53
72.61.7
69.371.0
Auto10.5
Teleop31.1
End31.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed10%Pressure oddsEarned