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Red259
141088.2
3314103.4
3132118.8
Blue395
2848116.7
290378.0
604116.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32938702006008001,000259395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#21
118.81.2
120.1118.8
Auto25.5
Teleop48.9
End44.4
red by 2.1
116.70.3
115.3115.1
Auto14.3
Teleop57.4
End45.1
Second
103.41.2
104.7103.4
Auto16.4
Teleop49.2
End37.9
blue by 13.1
604
#4
116.60.3
115.2114.9
Auto10.3
Teleop57.1
End49.2
Third
1410
#27
88.21.2
89.488.2
Auto10.7
Teleop40.7
End36.8
red by 10.2
2903
#15
78.00.3
76.676.3
Auto6.3
Teleop47.1
End24.6