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Red345
663045.5
876111.9
2512122.6
Blue355
241097.5
569097.6
450670.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310267100200400500345355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.60.9
124.1123.2
Auto14.5
Teleop51.1
End56.9
red by 25.0
97.61.0
95.196.2
Auto8.8
Teleop47.8
End40.9
Second
876
#1
111.90.9
113.4112.5
Auto11.6
Teleop50.4
End49.9
red by 14.4
97.51.0
95.096.0
Auto8.9
Teleop53.0
End35.6
Third
6630
#22
45.51.2
47.546.3
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End-2.1
blue by 24.7
4506
#25
70.21.0
67.768.8
Auto9.1
Teleop31.4
End29.7