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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Iowa Regional
Red445
580967.5
1987108.4
3528127.5
Blue306
392881.3
208183.6
204079.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322242100200300400500445306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3528
#8
127.51.2
123.6→124.8
Auto19.1
Teleop55.0
End53.4
red by 44.0
2081
#11
83.61.5
82.1→83.6
Auto9.4
Teleop41.3
End32.9
Second
1987
#2
108.41.2
104.5→105.6
Auto11.0
Teleop53.3
End44.0
red by 27.1
3928
#15
81.32.0
79.4→81.3
Auto10.0
Teleop43.8
End27.4
Third
5809
#47
67.51.2
63.5→64.7
Auto8.9
Teleop27.2
End31.3
blue by 12.4
2040
#29
79.91.5
78.4→79.9
Auto5.7
Teleop33.9
End40.3