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Red250
646749.5
253070.6
453693.1
Blue105
363350.3
245040.0
217746.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014450100200250250105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.111.1
57.768.8
Auto13.2
Teleop37.3
End42.5
red by 42.8
3633
#45
50.33.8
45.141.4
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End16.1
Second
2530
#24
70.611.1
51.062.1
Auto9.0
Teleop32.6
End29.1
red by 24.2
2177
#44
46.43.8
50.446.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End22.5
Third
6467
#39
49.511.1
41.152.2
Auto5.9
Teleop21.8
End21.8
red by 9.5
2450
#54
40.03.8
43.539.7
Auto5.0
Teleop22.2
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed