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Qual 202017 Iowa Regional
Red226
52590.7
363350.3
392881.3
Blue165
3528127.5
580967.5
217746.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21024650100150300350400226165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#14
90.70.3
95.0→94.7
Auto12.0
Teleop50.9
End27.8
blue by 36.8
3528
#8
127.54.8
121.9→117.2
Auto19.1
Teleop55.0
End53.4
Second
3928
#15
81.30.4
67.8→67.5
Auto10.0
Teleop43.8
End27.4
red by 13.8
5809
#47
67.54.8
60.7→55.9
Auto8.9
Teleop27.2
End31.3
Third
3633
#45
50.30.4
41.4→41.0
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End16.1
red by 3.8
2177
#44
46.47.1
46.6→39.5
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End22.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed