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Red230
204079.9
632047.2
543478.1
Blue235
257459.3
301877.6
432992.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1602280100200300400230235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#29
79.94.6
72.176.7
Auto5.7
Teleop33.9
End40.3
blue by 12.8
92.71.8
84.386.2
Auto10.2
Teleop50.1
End32.4
Second
5434
#37
78.17.6
49.957.5
Auto10.5
Teleop36.6
End31.1
red by 0.5
3018
#16
77.63.1
63.466.5
Auto7.3
Teleop34.4
End35.9
Third
6320
#36
47.27.6
39.647.2
Auto3.9
Teleop32.0
End11.3
blue by 12.1
2574
#35
59.33.1
59.562.6
Auto1.2
Teleop43.2
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed