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Red200
423066.1
52590.7
635975.9
Blue189
320679.8
563891.1
583741.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233160050100200300350400200189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#14
90.70.8
89.788.9
Auto12.0
Teleop50.9
End27.8
blue by 0.4
5638
#17
91.13.0
62.865.8
Auto11.6
Teleop49.0
End30.6
Second
6359
#13
75.91.3
55.854.5
Auto8.0
Teleop33.0
End34.9
blue by 3.8
3206
#19
79.83.0
56.759.7
Auto5.5
Teleop34.2
End40.1
Third
4230
#38
66.10.8
66.265.5
Auto9.3
Teleop34.4
End22.3
red by 24.3
5837
#42
41.83.0
42.745.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed