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Qual 772017 Iowa Regional
Red218
583741.8
400988.2
464691.7
Blue130
645559.5
241097.5
257459.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231252150200300350400218130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#10
91.70.3
92.6→92.3
Auto10.7
Teleop38.9
End42.1
blue by 5.8
2410
#4
97.57.1
97.3→90.2
Auto8.9
Teleop53.0
End35.6
Second
4009
#9
88.20.3
87.3→87.0
Auto8.4
Teleop34.8
End45.0
red by 28.7
6455
#21
59.510.3
69.7→59.5
Auto6.0
Teleop20.8
End32.7
Third
5837
#42
41.80.4
42.2→41.8
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End10.6
blue by 17.5
2574
#35
59.310.3
69.6→59.3
Auto1.2
Teleop43.2
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed