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Semifinal 2-12017 Iowa Regional
Red305
580967.5
1987108.4
3528127.5
Blue330
241097.5
569097.6
450670.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324251100200300400500305330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3528
#8
127.50.2
124.8→125.0
Auto19.1
Teleop55.0
End53.4
red by 29.9
5690
#3
97.61.3
91.5→92.8
Auto8.8
Teleop47.8
End40.9
Second
1987
#2
108.40.2
105.6→105.9
Auto11.0
Teleop53.3
End44.0
red by 10.9
2410
#4
97.51.3
91.3→92.6
Auto8.9
Teleop53.0
End35.6
Third
5809
#47
67.50.2
64.7→64.9
Auto8.9
Teleop27.2
End31.3
blue by 2.8
4506
#25
70.21.3
64.1→65.4
Auto9.1
Teleop31.4
End29.7