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Semifinal 2-52017 Iowa Regional
Red465
580967.5
1987108.4
3528127.5
Blue375
241097.5
569097.6
450670.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324256100200300400500465375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3528
#8
127.51.5
125.0→126.5
Auto19.1
Teleop55.0
End53.4
red by 29.9
5690
#3
97.60.5
92.8→93.3
Auto8.8
Teleop47.8
End40.9
Second
1987
#2
108.41.5
105.9→107.4
Auto11.0
Teleop53.3
End44.0
red by 10.9
2410
#4
97.50.5
92.6→93.2
Auto8.9
Teleop53.0
End35.6
Third
5809
#47
67.51.5
64.9→66.5
Auto8.9
Teleop27.2
End31.3
blue by 2.8
4506
#25
70.20.5
65.4→65.9
Auto9.1
Teleop31.4
End29.7