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Red419
300684.1
5499109.7
2122112.1
Blue395
324596.1
399105.3
323966.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312740100200400500600419395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.11.0
111.9112.9
Auto23.9
Teleop51.0
End37.2
red by 6.8
399
#4
105.30.6
105.0105.6
Auto12.1
Teleop48.8
End44.4
Second
109.71.0
109.5110.4
Auto12.8
Teleop57.3
End39.5
red by 13.6
96.10.6
95.896.4
Auto11.6
Teleop49.1
End35.4
Third
3006
#20
84.11.0
83.884.8
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End42.2
red by 17.5
3239
#23
66.60.6
66.366.9
Auto9.4
Teleop37.0
End20.2