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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Idaho Regional
Red425
549674.0
701103.8
198396.3
Blue235
593379.3
96870.0
635874.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022290100400500600700425235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#3
103.81.1
104.6→105.7
Auto12.0
Teleop49.1
End42.7
red by 24.5
5933
#35
79.30.4
79.7→79.3
Auto11.1
Teleop39.9
End28.3
Second
1983
#5
96.31.1
97.1→98.2
Auto14.6
Teleop45.7
End36.0
red by 21.4
6358
#14
74.90.4
76.2→75.8
Auto4.7
Teleop41.9
End28.3
Third
5496
#15
74.01.1
74.8→75.9
Auto6.2
Teleop35.3
End32.5
red by 4.1
968
#11
70.00.4
71.1→70.7
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End22.8