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Red265
99670.6
587162.2
300684.1
Blue310
198396.3
668047.3
314565.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203208150250300265310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3006
#20
84.14.8
74.879.6
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End42.2
blue by 12.2
96.33.9
108.3112.2
Auto14.6
Teleop45.7
End36.0
Second
996
#33
70.64.8
74.879.5
Auto10.4
Teleop32.8
End27.4
red by 5.3
3145
#22
65.26.5
49.856.2
Auto1.0
Teleop38.7
End25.5
Third
5871
#21
62.24.8
43.648.4
Auto9.2
Teleop26.5
End26.6
red by 14.9
6680
#12
47.36.5
38.545.0
Auto7.8
Teleop29.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed