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Red115
3256107.4
417555.7
351363.7
Blue305
549674.0
5499109.7
546172.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25121650100150300350400450115305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.48.3
119.7111.5
Auto16.8
Teleop46.8
End43.8
blue by 2.3
109.73.0
94.597.5
Auto12.8
Teleop57.3
End39.5
Second
3513
#19
63.713.8
61.747.9
Auto5.9
Teleop26.6
End31.3
blue by 10.3
5496
#15
74.03.0
73.376.3
Auto6.2
Teleop35.3
End32.5
Third
4175
#31
55.713.8
52.438.7
Auto1.8
Teleop34.4
End19.5
blue by 16.6
5461
#16
72.35.0
42.147.1
Auto8.0
Teleop36.6
End27.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed