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Qual 312017 Idaho Regional
Red358
498465.2
183679.9
399105.3
Blue235
300684.1
635874.9
325067.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223227150200250300350358235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#4
105.34.6
96.2→100.7
Auto12.1
Teleop48.8
End44.4
red by 21.2
3006
#20
84.11.5
79.6→81.1
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End42.2
Second
1836
#26
79.94.6
72.7→77.2
Auto4.0
Teleop40.9
End35.1
red by 5.0
6358
#14
74.92.5
68.7→71.2
Auto4.7
Teleop41.9
End28.3
Third
4984
#17
65.25.1
45.5→50.6
Auto11.8
Teleop29.5
End23.9
blue by 2.6
3250
#27
67.71.5
64.6→66.1
Auto6.3
Teleop34.2
End27.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed