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Red215
325067.7
668243.4
99670.6
Blue255
323966.6
546172.3
316668.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2041730100300400500215255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
996
#33
70.60.0
74.174.2
Auto10.4
Teleop32.8
End27.4
blue by 1.7
5461
#16
72.39.6
48.357.9
Auto8.0
Teleop36.6
End27.8
Second
3250
#27
67.70.0
65.165.1
Auto6.3
Teleop34.2
End27.2
blue by 0.5
3166
#10
68.25.8
63.369.0
Auto7.6
Teleop36.8
End23.8
Third
6682
#37
43.40.0
50.250.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.0
End12.9
blue by 23.2
3239
#23
66.65.8
57.162.9
Auto9.4
Teleop37.0
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed