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Red235
5499109.7
417555.7
668047.3
Blue205
183679.9
654683.1
156651.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207214160180200220240260280235205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.72.5
102.9105.4
Auto12.8
Teleop57.3
End39.5
red by 26.6
83.10.2
83.383.5
Auto12.4
Teleop41.6
End29.1
Second
4175
#31
55.73.3
49.953.3
Auto1.8
Teleop34.4
End19.5
blue by 24.2
1836
#26
79.90.2
76.776.9
Auto4.0
Teleop40.9
End35.1
Third
6680
#12
47.33.3
44.748.0
Auto7.8
Teleop29.0
End10.5
blue by 4.4
1566
#18
51.60.3
42.242.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.6
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed