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Red165
316668.2
300684.1
198396.3
Blue205
5499109.7
156952.9
640045.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892040100400500165205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.36.5
103.797.1
Auto14.6
Teleop45.7
End36.0
blue by 13.4
109.70.0
105.4105.4
Auto12.8
Teleop57.3
End39.5
Second
3006
#20
84.16.5
89.182.6
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End42.2
red by 31.1
1569
#36
52.90.0
50.350.3
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End15.0
Third
3166
#10
68.26.5
70.463.8
Auto7.6
Teleop36.8
End23.8
red by 22.3
6400
#30
45.90.0
49.449.4
Auto7.5
Teleop28.1
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed