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Quarterfinal 4-22017 Midwest Regional
Red470
421398.1
1405105.4
3620108.9
Blue235
128894.8
11196.4
172383.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512820100200400500600470235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#14
108.90.5
112.6→113.0
Auto16.3
Teleop55.0
End37.6
red by 12.6
111
#6
96.40.9
97.3→96.4
Auto8.2
Teleop43.3
End44.9
Second
1405
#3
105.40.5
109.0→109.5
Auto12.1
Teleop50.1
End43.2
red by 10.6
1288
#9
94.80.9
95.8→94.8
Auto7.5
Teleop42.4
End44.9
Third
4213
#20
98.10.5
101.7→102.2
Auto11.7
Teleop35.9
End50.5
red by 15.1
1723
#22
83.00.9
83.9→83.0
Auto9.5
Teleop43.8
End29.7