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Red160
581160.9
429262.8
313881.7
Blue260
478749.3
1592112.7
173690.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1552530100200300400500600160260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#31
81.70.0
65.565.4
Auto10.4
Teleop42.6
End28.8
blue by 31.0
112.73.0
104.0107.0
Auto12.9
Teleop46.5
End53.3
Second
4292
#50
62.80.0
38.638.6
Auto9.2
Teleop30.6
End23.0
blue by 28.0
1736
#21
90.93.0
84.487.4
Auto14.5
Teleop41.0
End35.3
Third
5811
#30
60.90.0
56.256.2
Auto11.0
Teleop35.1
End14.8
red by 11.6
4787
#41
49.32.5
38.340.8
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed