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Red255
581160.9
335273.4
409693.5
Blue215
584786.0
203970.3
162598.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2192670100300400500255215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#42
93.52.7
90.092.7
Auto5.5
Teleop37.6
End50.4
blue by 4.6
1625
#11
98.12.5
92.489.9
Auto12.1
Teleop44.6
End41.4
Second
3352
#27
73.42.7
68.971.6
Auto7.7
Teleop31.0
End34.7
blue by 12.7
5847
#26
86.02.5
90.087.5
Auto15.1
Teleop37.4
End33.6
Third
5811
#30
60.92.7
55.758.4
Auto11.0
Teleop35.1
End14.8
blue by 9.4
2039
#36
70.32.5
65.362.8
Auto9.0
Teleop33.5
End27.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed