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Red361
584786.0
1986139.2
16107.5
Blue190
173690.9
582277.6
409693.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862710100200500600700361190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.20.1
143.3143.2
Auto36.2
Teleop49.4
End53.5
red by 45.6
4096
#42
93.51.8
97.095.2
Auto5.5
Teleop37.6
End50.4
Second
16
#19
107.50.1
111.6111.5
Auto14.3
Teleop46.2
End47.0
red by 16.6
1736
#21
90.91.8
94.392.5
Auto14.5
Teleop41.0
End35.3
Third
5847
#26
86.00.1
90.290.1
Auto15.1
Teleop37.4
End33.6
red by 8.4
77.61.8
81.179.3
Auto5.7
Teleop39.6
End32.4