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Red366
162598.1
151195.5
2451100.7
Blue330
3620108.9
1405105.4
421398.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284352100200400500600366330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#10
100.71.5
95.597.0
Auto15.6
Teleop49.5
End35.6
blue by 8.3
3620
#14
108.90.4
113.0112.6
Auto16.3
Teleop55.0
End37.6
Second
1625
#11
98.11.5
92.994.4
Auto12.1
Teleop44.6
End41.4
blue by 7.3
105.40.4
109.5109.1
Auto12.1
Teleop50.1
End43.2
Third
95.51.5
90.391.8
Auto14.3
Teleop40.5
End40.6
blue by 2.6
4213
#20
98.10.4
102.2101.8
Auto11.7
Teleop35.9
End50.5